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Primeira Liga
Primeira LigaPrimeira Liga·5
Vitória SCVitória SC
vsComing upSep 06, 05:00 PM
Casa Pia ACCasa Pia AC

Competition Context

Primeira Liga • Season 2026/27

Last updated: 09/01/2026, 08:01 PM

Data awaiting new synchronization.

Comparison
Vitória SCVitória SC
Casa Pia ACCasa Pia AC
Position12º18º
Played44
Points30
Wins10
Draws00
Losses34
Goals scored30
Goals conceded511
Goal difference−2−11
Form
LWLL
LLLL

Home performance × Away performance

Vitória SC · Home

50%Points ratio
1Wins
0Draws
1Losses
11 (2 matches)
LW

Casa Pia AC · Away

0%Points ratio
0Wins
0Draws
2Losses
03 (2 matches)
LL

Vitória SC

LLWL

Last 4 matches

  • Not enough matches yet to calculate this trend.

Avg. scored: 0.75 · Avg. conceded: 1.25

  • Is 9 points behind the leader.
  • Is 7 points below the Champions League zone.
  • Has a 1-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Casa Pia AC

LLLL

Last 4 matches

  • Lost the last 4 matches.
  • Conceded in the last 4 matches.
  • Lost the last 2 matches away.

Avg. scored: 0.00 · Avg. conceded: 2.75

  • Is 12 points behind the leader.
  • Is 10 points below the Champions League zone.
  • Currently holds a Relegation position.

Impact of this match

If the home team wins

  • Vitória SC could move to position 8.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If it's a draw

  • Vitória SC could move to position 11.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If the away team wins

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

  • Casa Pia AC could provisionally leave the Relegation zone.

The exact impact depends on the round's other results.

Contextual mini table

Home team context
10ºCD NacionalCD Nacional4 points
11ºMoreirense FCMoreirense FC4 points
12ºVitória SCVitória SC3 points
13ºRio Ave FCRio Ave FC3 points
14ºFC FamalicãoFC Famalicão2 points
Away team context
16ºAcadémico de Viseu FCAcadémico de Viseu FC2 points
17ºGD Estoril PraiaGD Estoril Praia1 points
18ºCasa Pia ACCasa Pia AC0 points
Legend:Relegation

G10 Model

Predicted score10λ 1.8 · 0.4
Home

74%

Draw

20%

Away

6%

55

Confidence Score

Confidence in the top pick

Match Strength Index

35

Overall quality of the fixture

Team ratings

Attack Rating35
Defense Rating54
Attack Rating17
Defense Rating30
Over 2.5 39%Both teams to score 29%Model pick: Home win

With Vitória SC's Attack Rating of 35 against Casa Pia AC's defense (30), the model projects 1.8–0.4 expected goals. The Match Strength Index (MSI) is 35.

Trends

  • Vitória SC won 1 of their last 5 matches.
  • Casa Pia AC won 0 of their last 5 matches.
  • Low-scoring trend: 61% chance of under 2.5 goals.
  • Vitória SC have the stronger attack in this fixture (rating 35).

Alerts

  • Model favors Home win with 74%.
  • Casa Pia AC's fragile defense (rating 30) could open up the game.

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