Primeira Liga·5
GD Estoril Praia
FC AroucaCompetition Context
Primeira Liga • Season 2026/27
Last updated: 09/01/2026, 08:01 PM
Data awaiting new synchronization.
| Comparison |  GD Estoril Praia |  FC Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 17º | 3º |
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Points | 1 | 9 |
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 2 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 3 |
| Goal difference | −5 | +4 |
| Form | LLLD | WLWW |
Home performance × Away performance
GD Estoril Praia · Home
FC Arouca · Away
GD Estoril Praia
Last 4 matches
- Lost the last 3 matches.
- Conceded in the last 4 matches.
Avg. scored: 0.50 · Avg. conceded: 1.75
- Is 11 points behind the leader.
- Is 9 points below the Champions League zone.
- Currently holds a Relegation position.
FC Arouca
Last 4 matches
- Not enough matches yet to calculate this trend.
Avg. scored: 1.75 · Avg. conceded: 0.75
- Is 3 points behind the leader.
- Is 1 points below the Champions League zone.
- Has a 7-point cushion over the Relegation zone.
Impact of this match
If the home team wins
- GD Estoril Praia could provisionally leave the Relegation zone.
No relevant zone change in this scenario.
If it's a draw
No relevant zone change in this scenario.
No relevant zone change in this scenario.
If the away team wins
No relevant zone change in this scenario.
- FC Arouca could provisionally enter the Champions League zone.
The exact impact depends on the round's other results.
Contextual mini table
FC Alverca2 points
Académico de Viseu FC2 pointsGD Estoril Praia1 points
Casa Pia AC0 points
FC Porto12 points
Sporting Clube de Portugal10 pointsFC Arouca9 points
CD Santa Clara8 points
Sport Lisboa e Benfica7 pointsG10 Model
8%
22%
70%
Confidence Score
Confidence in the top pick
Match Strength Index
51
Overall quality of the fixture
Team ratings
With GD Estoril Praia's Attack Rating of 29 against FC Arouca's defense (72), the model projects 0.6–1.8 expected goals. The Match Strength Index (MSI) is 51.
Trends
- GD Estoril Praia won 0 of their last 5 matches.
- FC Arouca won 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Low-scoring trend: 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
- FC Arouca have the stronger attack in this fixture (rating 59).
Alerts
- Model favors Away win with 70%.
- GD Estoril Praia's fragile defense (rating 43) could open up the game.
Other matches
Sporting Clube de PortugalvsCD Nacional
Vitória SCvsCasa Pia ACCD Santa ClaravsRio Ave FC
Moreirense FCvsSport Lisboa e Benfica