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Primeira Liga
Primeira LigaPrimeira Liga·5
FC PortoFC Porto
vsComing upSep 04, 07:15 PM
Moreirense FCMoreirense FC

Competition Context

Primeira Liga • Season 2026/27

Last updated: 09/01/2026, 08:01 PM

Data awaiting new synchronization.

Comparison
FC PortoFC Porto
Moreirense FCMoreirense FC
Position11º
Played43
Points124
Wins41
Draws01
Losses01
Goals scored93
Goals conceded06
Goal difference+9−3
Form
WWWW
WLD

Home performance × Away performance

FC Porto · Home

100%Points ratio
2Wins
0Draws
0Losses
40 (2 matches)
WW

Moreirense FC · Away

50%Points ratio
1Wins
0Draws
1Losses
14 (2 matches)
LW

FC Porto

WWWW

Last 4 matches

  • Won the last 4 matches.
  • Scored in 4 consecutive matches.
  • Won the last 2 matches at home.

Avg. scored: 2.25 · Avg. conceded: 0.00

  • Currently leads the competition.
  • Currently holds a Champions League position.
  • Has a 10-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Moreirense FC

DLW

Last 3 matches

  • Not enough matches yet to calculate this trend.

Avg. scored: 1.00 · Avg. conceded: 2.00

  • Is 8 points behind the leader.
  • Is 6 points below the Champions League zone.
  • Has a 2-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Impact of this match

If the home team wins

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If it's a draw

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

  • Moreirense FC could move to position 9.

If the away team wins

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

  • Moreirense FC could move to position 8.

The exact impact depends on the round's other results.

Contextual mini table

Home team context
1ºFC PortoFC Porto12 points
2ºSporting Clube de PortugalSporting Clube de Portugal10 points
3ºFC AroucaFC Arouca9 points
Away team context
9ºSporting Clube de BragaSporting Clube de Braga4 points
10ºCD NacionalCD Nacional4 points
11ºMoreirense FCMoreirense FC4 points
12ºVitória SCVitória SC3 points
13ºRio Ave FCRio Ave FC3 points
Legend:Champions League

G10 Model

Predicted score20λ 2.8 · 0.4
Home

89%

Draw

10%

Away

1%

60

Confidence Score

Confidence in the top pick

Match Strength Index

64

Overall quality of the fixture

Team ratings

Attack Rating71
Defense Rating99
Attack Rating43
Defense Rating41
Over 2.5 60%Both teams to score 30%Model pick: Home win

With FC Porto's Attack Rating of 71 against Moreirense FC's defense (41), the model projects 2.8–0.4 expected goals. The Match Strength Index (MSI) is 64.

Trends

  • FC Porto won 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Moreirense FC won 1 of their last 5 matches.
  • Open-game trend: 60% chance of over 2.5 goals.
  • FC Porto have the stronger attack in this fixture (rating 71).

Alerts

  • Model favors Home win with 89%.
  • Moreirense FC's fragile defense (rating 41) could open up the game.
  • Goal-friendly scenario: 60% for over 2.5.

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