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Championship
ChampionshipChampionship·5
Burnley FCBurnley FC
vsComing upSep 05, 02:00 PM
Bristol City FCBristol City FC

Competition Context

Championship • Season 2026/27

Last updated: 09/05/2026, 12:17 AM

Comparison
Burnley FCBurnley FC
Bristol City FCBristol City FC
Position23º
Played44
Points27
Wins02
Draws21
Losses21
Goals scored57
Goals conceded106
Goal difference−5+1
Form
DLLD
WWDL

Home performance × Away performance

Burnley FC · Home

33%Points ratio
0Wins
2Draws
0Losses
33 (2 matches)
DD

Bristol City FC · Away

67%Points ratio
1Wins
1Draws
0Losses
53 (2 matches)
DW

Burnley FC

DLLD

Last 4 matches

  • Winless in the last 4 matches.
  • Scored in 4 consecutive matches.
  • Conceded in the last 4 matches.

Avg. scored: 1.25 · Avg. conceded: 2.50

  • Is 8 points behind the leader.
  • Is 8 points below the Automatic promotion zone.
  • Is 5 points below the Promotion playoff zone.
  • Currently holds a Relegation position.

Bristol City FC

LDWW

Last 4 matches

  • Unbeaten in the last 3 matches.
  • Scored in 3 consecutive matches.
  • Conceded in the last 4 matches.

Avg. scored: 1.75 · Avg. conceded: 1.50

  • Is 3 points behind the leader.
  • Is 3 points below the Automatic promotion zone.
  • Tied on points with the edge of the Promotion playoff zone; position depends on tiebreak criteria.
  • Has a 4-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Impact of this match

If the home team wins

  • Burnley FC could provisionally leave the Relegation zone.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If it's a draw

  • Burnley FC could move to position 22.
  • Bristol City FC could provisionally enter the Promotion playoff zone.

If the away team wins

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

  • Bristol City FC could provisionally enter the Promotion playoff zone.

The exact impact depends on the round's other results.

Contextual mini table

Home team context
21ºPortsmouth FCPortsmouth FC3 points
22ºStoke City FCStoke City FC3 points
23ºBurnley FCBurnley FC2 points
24ºPreston North End FCPreston North End FC0 points
Away team context
5ºWolverhampton Wanderers FCWolverhampton Wanderers FC7 points
6ºMiddlesbrough FCMiddlesbrough FC7 points
7ºBristol City FCBristol City FC7 points
8ºWest Bromwich Albion FCWest Bromwich Albion FC7 points
9ºBirmingham City FCBirmingham City FC6 points
Legend:Promotion playoffRelegation

G10 Model

Predicted score12λ 1.5 · 2.3
Home

23%

Draw

20%

Away

57%

45

Confidence Score

Confidence in the top pick

Match Strength Index

47

Overall quality of the fixture

Team ratings

Attack Rating45
Defense Rating34
Attack Rating56
Defense Rating49
Over 2.5 74%Both teams to score 71%Model pick: Away win

With Burnley FC's Attack Rating of 45 against Bristol City FC's defense (49), the model projects 1.5–2.3 expected goals. The Match Strength Index (MSI) is 47.

Trends

  • Burnley FC won 0 of their last 5 matches.
  • Bristol City FC won 2 of their last 5 matches.
  • Open-game trend: 74% chance of over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams to score probability: 71%.
  • Bristol City FC have the stronger attack in this fixture (rating 56).

Alerts

  • Balanced matchup: 23% / 20% / 57%.
  • Burnley FC's fragile defense (rating 34) could open up the game.
  • Goal-friendly scenario: 74% for over 2.5.

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