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Championship
ChampionshipChampionship·5
West Ham United FCWest Ham United FC
vsComing upSep 05, 02:00 PM
Derby County FCDerby County FC

Competition Context

Championship • Season 2026/27

Last updated: 09/05/2026, 12:17 AM

Comparison
West Ham United FCWest Ham United FC
Derby County FCDerby County FC
Position13º17º
Played44
Points54
Wins11
Draws21
Losses12
Goals scored85
Goals conceded77
Goal difference+1−2
Form
WDLD
WLDL

Home performance × Away performance

West Ham United FC · Home

50%Points ratio
1Wins
0Draws
1Losses
54 (2 matches)
LW

Derby County FC · Away

50%Points ratio
1Wins
0Draws
1Losses
32 (2 matches)
LW

West Ham United FC

DLDW

Last 4 matches

  • Scored in 4 consecutive matches.
  • Conceded in the last 4 matches.

Avg. scored: 2.00 · Avg. conceded: 1.75

  • Is 5 points behind the leader.
  • Is 5 points below the Automatic promotion zone.
  • Is 2 points below the Promotion playoff zone.
  • Has a 2-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Derby County FC

LDLW

Last 4 matches

  • Not enough matches yet to calculate this trend.

Avg. scored: 1.25 · Avg. conceded: 1.75

  • Is 6 points behind the leader.
  • Is 6 points below the Automatic promotion zone.
  • Is 3 points below the Promotion playoff zone.
  • Has a 1-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Impact of this match

If the home team wins

  • West Ham United FC could provisionally enter the Promotion playoff zone.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If it's a draw

  • West Ham United FC could move to position 9.
  • Derby County FC could move to position 16.

If the away team wins

  • West Ham United FC could move to position 14.
  • Derby County FC could move to position 9.

The exact impact depends on the round's other results.

Contextual mini table

11ºMillwall FCMillwall FC6 points
12ºWrexham AFCWrexham AFC5 points
13ºWest Ham United FCWest Ham United FC5 points
14ºBlackburn Rovers FCBlackburn Rovers FC5 points
15ºWatford FCWatford FC5 points
16ºBolton Wanderers FCBolton Wanderers FC4 points
17ºDerby County FCDerby County FC4 points
18ºLincoln City FCLincoln City FC4 points
19ºCardiff City FCCardiff City FC3 points

G10 Model

Predicted score21λ 2.4 · 1.4
Home

59%

Draw

19%

Away

22%

47

Confidence Score

Confidence in the top pick

Match Strength Index

49

Overall quality of the fixture

Team ratings

Attack Rating62
Defense Rating44
Attack Rating45
Defense Rating44
Over 2.5 73%Both teams to score 69%Model pick: Home win

With West Ham United FC's Attack Rating of 62 against Derby County FC's defense (44), the model projects 2.4–1.4 expected goals. The Match Strength Index (MSI) is 49.

Trends

  • West Ham United FC won 1 of their last 5 matches.
  • Derby County FC won 1 of their last 5 matches.
  • Open-game trend: 73% chance of over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams to score probability: 69%.
  • West Ham United FC have the stronger attack in this fixture (rating 62).

Alerts

  • Balanced matchup: 59% / 19% / 22%.
  • West Ham United FC's fragile defense (rating 44) could open up the game.
  • Derby County FC's fragile defense (rating 44) could open up the game.
  • Goal-friendly scenario: 73% for over 2.5.

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