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Primeira Liga
Primeira LigaPrimeira Liga·6
Casa Pia ACCasa Pia AC
vsComing upSep 12, 12:00 AM
FC PortoFC Porto

Competition Context

Primeira Liga • Season 2026/27

Last updated: 09/04/2026, 09:38 PM

Comparison
Casa Pia ACCasa Pia AC
FC PortoFC Porto
Position18º
Played45
Points015
Wins05
Draws00
Losses40
Goals scored011
Goals conceded111
Goal difference−11+10
Form
LLLL
WWWWW

Home performance × Away performance

Casa Pia AC · Home

0%Points ratio
0Wins
0Draws
2Losses
08 (2 matches)
LL

FC Porto · Away

100%Points ratio
2Wins
0Draws
0Losses
50 (2 matches)
WW

Casa Pia AC

LLLL

Last 4 matches

  • Lost the last 4 matches.
  • Conceded in the last 4 matches.
  • Lost the last 2 matches at home.

Avg. scored: 0.00 · Avg. conceded: 2.75

  • Is 15 points behind the leader.
  • Is 10 points below the Champions League zone.
  • Currently holds a Relegation position.

FC Porto

WWWWW
  • Won 5 of the last 5 matches.
  • Won the last 5 matches.
  • Scored in 5 consecutive matches.
  • Won the last 2 matches away.

Avg. scored: 2.20 · Avg. conceded: 0.20

  • Currently leads the competition.
  • Currently holds a Champions League position.
  • Has a 13-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Impact of this match

If the home team wins

  • Casa Pia AC could provisionally leave the Relegation zone.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If it's a draw

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If the away team wins

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

The exact impact depends on the round's other results.

Contextual mini table

Home team context
16ºAcadémico de Viseu FCAcadémico de Viseu FC2 points
17ºGD Estoril PraiaGD Estoril Praia1 points
18ºCasa Pia ACCasa Pia AC0 points
Away team context
1ºFC PortoFC Porto15 points
2ºSporting Clube de PortugalSporting Clube de Portugal10 points
3ºFC AroucaFC Arouca9 points
Legend:Champions LeagueRelegation

G10 Model

Predicted score03λ 0.2 · 3.3
Home

1%

Draw

5%

Away

94%

72

Confidence Score

Confidence in the top pick

Match Strength Index

56

Overall quality of the fixture

Team ratings

Attack Rating17
Defense Rating30
Attack Rating74
Defense Rating99
Over 2.5 67%Both teams to score 17%Model pick: Away win

With Casa Pia AC's Attack Rating of 17 against FC Porto's defense (99), the model projects 0.2–3.3 expected goals. The Match Strength Index (MSI) is 56.

Trends

  • Casa Pia AC won 0 of their last 5 matches.
  • FC Porto won 5 of their last 5 matches.
  • Open-game trend: 67% chance of over 2.5 goals.
  • FC Porto have the stronger attack in this fixture (rating 74).

Alerts

  • High confidence (72%) in the Away win.
  • Casa Pia AC's fragile defense (rating 30) could open up the game.
  • Goal-friendly scenario: 67% for over 2.5.

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