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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Campeonato Brasileiro Série ACampeonato Brasileiro Série A·26
Botafogo FRBotafogo FR
vsComing upSep 06, 09:30 PM
SE PalmeirasSE Palmeiras

Competition Context

Campeonato Brasileiro Série A • Season 2026

Last updated: 09/03/2026, 06:44 PM

Comparison
Botafogo FRBotafogo FR
SE PalmeirasSE Palmeiras
Position12º
Played2425
Points3052
Wins815
Draws67
Losses103
Goals scored3745
Goals conceded4021
Goal difference−3+24
Form
LLLDW
DWLDW

Home performance × Away performance

Botafogo FR · Home

48%Points ratio
4Wins
4Draws
3Losses
2017 (11 matches)
WWDDL

SE Palmeiras · Away

64%Points ratio
7Wins
4Draws
2Losses
2412 (13 matches)
WWWLD

Botafogo FR

WDLLL
  • Won 1 of the last 5 matches.
  • Lost the last 3 matches.
  • Conceded in the last 4 matches.

Avg. scored: 1.54 · Avg. conceded: 1.67

  • Is 22 points behind the leader.
  • Is 12 points below the Libertadores zone.
  • Has a 5-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

SE Palmeiras

WDLWD
  • Won 2 of the last 5 matches.
  • Scored in 3 consecutive matches.
  • Conceded in the last 3 matches.

Avg. scored: 1.80 · Avg. conceded: 0.84

  • Currently leads the competition.
  • Currently holds a Libertadores position.
  • Has a 27-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Impact of this match

If the home team wins

  • Botafogo FR could move to position 10.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If it's a draw

  • Botafogo FR could move to position 11.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If the away team wins

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

The exact impact depends on the round's other results.

Contextual mini table

Home team context
10ºSC Corinthians PaulistaSC Corinthians Paulista32 points
11ºSão Paulo FCSão Paulo FC30 points
12ºBotafogo FRBotafogo FR30 points
13ºEC VitóriaEC Vitória29 points
14ºSantos FCSantos FC29 points
Away team context
1ºSE PalmeirasSE Palmeiras52 points
2ºCR FlamengoCR Flamengo51 points
3ºCA ParanaenseCA Paranaense45 points
Legend:Libertadores

G10 Model

Predicted score12λ 1.2 · 2.2
Home

21%

Draw

20%

Away

59%

58

Confidence Score

Confidence in the top pick

Match Strength Index

63

Overall quality of the fixture

Team ratings

Attack Rating62
Defense Rating40
Attack Rating70
Defense Rating78
Over 2.5 65%Both teams to score 61%Model pick: Away win

With Botafogo FR's Attack Rating of 62 against SE Palmeiras's defense (78), the model projects 1.2–2.2 expected goals. The Match Strength Index (MSI) is 63.

Trends

  • Botafogo FR won 1 of their last 5 matches.
  • SE Palmeiras won 2 of their last 5 matches.
  • Open-game trend: 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams to score probability: 61%.
  • SE Palmeiras have the stronger attack in this fixture (rating 70).

Alerts

  • Model favors Away win with 59%.
  • Botafogo FR's fragile defense (rating 40) could open up the game.
  • Goal-friendly scenario: 65% for over 2.5.

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