G10Tips
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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Campeonato Brasileiro Série ACampeonato Brasileiro Série A·26
Coritiba FBCCoritiba FBC
vsComing upSep 06, 02:00 PM
Mirassol FCMirassol FC

Competition Context

Campeonato Brasileiro Série A • Season 2026

Last updated: 09/03/2026, 06:44 PM

Comparison
Coritiba FBCCoritiba FBC
Mirassol FCMirassol FC
Position16º
Played2525
Points3725
Wins106
Draws77
Losses812
Goals scored3327
Goals conceded3339
Goal difference0−12
Form
WWDWL
LDDLL

Home performance × Away performance

Coritiba FBC · Home

50%Points ratio
5Wins
3Draws
4Losses
1514 (12 matches)
WLLWW

Mirassol FC · Away

17%Points ratio
1Wins
3Draws
8Losses
1020 (12 matches)
LDLDL

Coritiba FBC

LWDWW
  • Won 3 of the last 5 matches.
  • Unbeaten in the last 4 matches.
  • Scored in 4 consecutive matches.
  • Conceded in the last 5 matches.
  • Won the last 2 matches at home.

Avg. scored: 1.32 · Avg. conceded: 1.32

  • Is 15 points behind the leader.
  • Is 5 points below the Libertadores zone.
  • Has a 12-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Mirassol FC

LLDDL
  • Won 0 of the last 5 matches.
  • Winless in the last 5 matches.
  • Conceded in the last 9 matches.

Avg. scored: 1.08 · Avg. conceded: 1.56

  • Is 27 points behind the leader.
  • Is 17 points below the Libertadores zone.
  • Tied on points with the edge of the Relegation zone; position depends on tiebreak criteria.

Impact of this match

If the home team wins

  • Coritiba FBC could move to position 5.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If it's a draw

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If the away team wins

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

The exact impact depends on the round's other results.

Contextual mini table

Home team context
5ºEC BahiaEC Bahia40 points
6ºCruzeiro ECCruzeiro EC39 points
7ºCoritiba FBCCoritiba FBC37 points
8ºCA MineiroCA Mineiro36 points
9ºRB BragantinoRB Bragantino35 points
Away team context
14ºSantos FCSantos FC29 points
15ºGrêmio FBPAGrêmio FBPA28 points
16ºMirassol FCMirassol FC25 points
17ºCR Vasco da GamaCR Vasco da Gama25 points
18ºSC InternacionalSC Internacional25 points
Legend:Relegation

G10 Model

Predicted score11λ 1.8 · 1
Home

58%

Draw

23%

Away

19%

56

Confidence Score

Confidence in the top pick

Match Strength Index

46

Overall quality of the fixture

Team ratings

Attack Rating50
Defense Rating50
Attack Rating41
Defense Rating42
Over 2.5 54%Both teams to score 54%Model pick: Home win

With Coritiba FBC's Attack Rating of 50 against Mirassol FC's defense (42), the model projects 1.8–1 expected goals. The Match Strength Index (MSI) is 46.

Trends

  • Coritiba FBC won 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Mirassol FC won 0 of their last 5 matches.
  • Coritiba FBC have the stronger attack in this fixture (rating 50).

Alerts

  • Model favors Home win with 58%.
  • Mirassol FC's fragile defense (rating 42) could open up the game.

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