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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Campeonato Brasileiro Série ACampeonato Brasileiro Série A·27
SE PalmeirasSE Palmeiras
vsComing upSep 12, 09:30 PM
São Paulo FCSão Paulo FC

Competition Context

Campeonato Brasileiro Série A • Season 2026

Last updated: 09/06/2026, 02:08 AM

Comparison
SE PalmeirasSE Palmeiras
São Paulo FCSão Paulo FC
Position10º
Played2525
Points5233
Wins159
Draws76
Losses310
Goals scored4531
Goals conceded2128
Goal difference+24+3
Form
DWLDW
WWLDL

Home performance × Away performance

SE Palmeiras · Home

75%Points ratio
8Wins
3Draws
1Losses
219 (12 matches)
DWLDW

São Paulo FC · Away

23%Points ratio
2Wins
3Draws
8Losses
1118 (13 matches)
LLDLL

SE Palmeiras

WDLWD
  • Won 2 of the last 5 matches.
  • Scored in 3 consecutive matches.
  • Conceded in the last 3 matches.

Avg. scored: 1.80 · Avg. conceded: 0.84

  • Currently leads the competition.
  • Currently holds a Libertadores position.
  • Has a 27-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

São Paulo FC

LDLWW
  • Won 2 of the last 5 matches.
  • Lost the last 2 matches away.

Avg. scored: 1.24 · Avg. conceded: 1.12

  • Is 19 points behind the leader.
  • Is 12 points below the Libertadores zone.
  • Has a 8-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Impact of this match

If the home team wins

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If it's a draw

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If the away team wins

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

  • São Paulo FC could move to position 8.

The exact impact depends on the round's other results.

Contextual mini table

Home team context
1ºSE PalmeirasSE Palmeiras52 points
2ºCR FlamengoCR Flamengo51 points
3ºCA ParanaenseCA Paranaense45 points
Away team context
8ºCA MineiroCA Mineiro36 points
9ºRB BragantinoRB Bragantino35 points
10ºSão Paulo FCSão Paulo FC33 points
11ºSC Corinthians PaulistaSC Corinthians Paulista32 points
12ºBotafogo FRBotafogo FR30 points
Legend:Libertadores

G10 Model

Predicted score10λ 1.8 · 0.7
Home

66%

Draw

22%

Away

12%

61

Confidence Score

Confidence in the top pick

Match Strength Index

63

Overall quality of the fixture

Team ratings

Attack Rating68
Defense Rating79
Attack Rating46
Defense Rating57
Over 2.5 47%Both teams to score 44%Model pick: Home win

With SE Palmeiras's Attack Rating of 68 against São Paulo FC's defense (57), the model projects 1.8–0.7 expected goals. The Match Strength Index (MSI) is 63.

Trends

  • SE Palmeiras won 2 of their last 5 matches.
  • São Paulo FC won 2 of their last 5 matches.
  • SE Palmeiras have the stronger attack in this fixture (rating 68).

Alerts

  • Model favors Home win with 66%.

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