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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Campeonato Brasileiro Série ACampeonato Brasileiro Série A·26
Cruzeiro ECCruzeiro EC
vsComing upSep 06, 07:00 PM
CA ParanaenseCA Paranaense

Competition Context

Campeonato Brasileiro Série A • Season 2026

Last updated: 09/03/2026, 06:44 PM

Data awaiting new synchronization.

Comparison
Cruzeiro ECCruzeiro EC
CA ParanaenseCA Paranaense
Position
Played2525
Points3945
Wins1113
Draws66
Losses86
Goals scored3537
Goals conceded3625
Goal difference−1+12
Form
LWWWW
DWDWD

Home performance × Away performance

Cruzeiro EC · Home

56%Points ratio
6Wins
4Draws
3Losses
2115 (13 matches)
WDLWW

CA Paranaense · Away

47%Points ratio
5Wins
2Draws
5Losses
1415 (12 matches)
WWDWW

Cruzeiro EC

WWWWL
  • Won 4 of the last 5 matches.
  • Scored in 5 consecutive matches.
  • Conceded in the last 4 matches.
  • Won the last 2 matches at home.

Avg. scored: 1.40 · Avg. conceded: 1.44

  • Is 13 points behind the leader.
  • Is 3 points below the Libertadores zone.
  • Has a 14-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

CA Paranaense

DWDWD
  • Won 2 of the last 5 matches.
  • Unbeaten in the last 10 matches.
  • Scored in 4 consecutive matches.
  • Conceded in the last 3 matches.
  • Won the last 2 matches away.

Avg. scored: 1.48 · Avg. conceded: 1.00

  • Is 7 points behind the leader.
  • Currently holds a Libertadores position.
  • Has a 20-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Impact of this match

If the home team wins

  • Cruzeiro EC could provisionally enter the Libertadores zone.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If it's a draw

  • Cruzeiro EC could move to position 5.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If the away team wins

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

The exact impact depends on the round's other results.

Contextual mini table

1ºSE PalmeirasSE Palmeiras52 points
2ºCR FlamengoCR Flamengo51 points
3ºCA ParanaenseCA Paranaense45 points
4ºFluminense FCFluminense FC42 points
5ºEC BahiaEC Bahia40 points
6ºCruzeiro ECCruzeiro EC39 points
7ºCoritiba FBCCoritiba FBC37 points
8ºCA MineiroCA Mineiro36 points
Legend:Libertadores

G10 Model

Predicted score11λ 1.2 · 1.6
Home

32%

Draw

25%

Away

43%

42

Confidence Score

Confidence in the top pick

Match Strength Index

56

Overall quality of the fixture

Team ratings

Attack Rating53
Defense Rating46
Attack Rating56
Defense Rating66
Over 2.5 52%Both teams to score 56%Model pick: Away win

With Cruzeiro EC's Attack Rating of 53 against CA Paranaense's defense (66), the model projects 1.2–1.6 expected goals. The Match Strength Index (MSI) is 56.

Trends

  • Cruzeiro EC won 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • CA Paranaense won 2 of their last 5 matches.
  • Both teams to score probability: 56%.
  • CA Paranaense have the stronger attack in this fixture (rating 56).

Alerts

  • Balanced matchup: 32% / 25% / 43%.

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