G10Tips
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Bundesliga
BundesligaBundesliga·3
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
vsComing upSep 12, 01:30 PM
SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07

Competition Context

Bundesliga • Season 2026/27

Last updated: 09/07/2026, 02:47 PM

Comparison
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
Position12º
Played22
Points61
Wins20
Draws01
Losses01
Goals scored50
Goals conceded21
Goal difference+3−1
Form
WW
LD

Home performance × Away performance

Borussia Dortmund · Home

100%Points ratio
1Wins
0Draws
0Losses
20 (1 matches)
W

SC Paderborn 07 · Away

33%Points ratio
0Wins
1Draws
0Losses
00 (1 matches)
D

Borussia Dortmund

WW

Last 2 matches

  • Not enough matches yet to calculate this trend.

Avg. scored: 2.50 · Avg. conceded: 1.00

  • Tied on points with the leader; position depends on tiebreak criteria.
  • Currently holds a Champions League position.
  • Has a 6-point cushion over the Relegation playoff zone.
  • Has a 6-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

SC Paderborn 07

DL

Last 2 matches

  • Not enough matches yet to calculate this trend.

Avg. scored: 0.00 · Avg. conceded: 0.50

  • Is 5 points behind the leader.
  • Is 5 points below the Champions League zone.
  • Has a 1-point cushion over the Relegation playoff zone.
  • Has a 1-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Impact of this match

If the home team wins

  • Borussia Dortmund could provisionally take the lead.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If it's a draw

  • Borussia Dortmund could provisionally take the lead.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If the away team wins

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

  • SC Paderborn 07 could move to position 7.

The exact impact depends on the round's other results.

Contextual mini table

Home team context
1ºFC AugsburgFC Augsburg6 points
2ºSC FreiburgSC Freiburg6 points
3ºBorussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund6 points
4ºSV 07 ElversbergSV 07 Elversberg6 points
5º1. FSV Mainz 051. FSV Mainz 054 points
Away team context
10ºSV Werder BremenSV Werder Bremen3 points
11º1. FC Köln1. FC Köln3 points
12ºSC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 071 points
13ºEintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt1 points
14ºFC Schalke 04FC Schalke 041 points
Legend:Champions League

G10 Model

Predicted score11λ 1.9 · 1.1
Home

61%

Draw

22%

Away

17%

37

Confidence Score

Confidence in the top pick

Match Strength Index

54

Overall quality of the fixture

Team ratings

Attack Rating54
Defense Rating60
Attack Rating33
Defense Rating67
Over 2.5 56%Both teams to score 55%Model pick: Home win

With Borussia Dortmund's Attack Rating of 54 against SC Paderborn 07's defense (67), the model projects 1.9–1.1 expected goals. The Match Strength Index (MSI) is 54.

Trends

  • Borussia Dortmund won 2 of their last 5 matches.
  • SC Paderborn 07 won 0 of their last 5 matches.
  • Open-game trend: 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams to score probability: 55%.
  • Borussia Dortmund have the stronger attack in this fixture (rating 54).

Alerts

  • Balanced matchup: 61% / 22% / 17%.
  • Goal-friendly scenario: 56% for over 2.5.

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