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Primera Division
La LigaPrimera Division·5
Real Madrid CFReal Madrid CF
vsComing upSep 12, 07:00 PM
Rayo Vallecano de MadridRayo Vallecano de Madrid

Competition Context

Primera Division • Season 2026/27

Last updated: 09/06/2026, 01:47 AM

Comparison
Real Madrid CFReal Madrid CF
Rayo Vallecano de MadridRayo Vallecano de Madrid
Position11º
Played44
Points94
Wins31
Draws01
Losses12
Goals scored107
Goals conceded310
Goal difference+7−3
Form
LWWW
WLDL

Home performance × Away performance

Real Madrid CF · Home

100%Points ratio
2Wins
0Draws
0Losses
81 (2 matches)
WW

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · Away

0%Points ratio
0Wins
0Draws
2Losses
37 (2 matches)
LL

Real Madrid CF

WWWL

Last 4 matches

  • Won the last 2 matches at home.

Avg. scored: 2.50 · Avg. conceded: 0.75

  • Tied on points with the leader; position depends on tiebreak criteria.
  • Currently holds a Champions League position.
  • Has a 8-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

LDLW

Last 4 matches

  • Scored in 4 consecutive matches.
  • Conceded in the last 4 matches.
  • Lost the last 2 matches away.

Avg. scored: 1.75 · Avg. conceded: 2.50

  • Is 5 points behind the leader.
  • Is 4 points below the Champions League zone.
  • Has a 3-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Impact of this match

If the home team wins

  • Real Madrid CF could provisionally take the lead.
  • Rayo Vallecano de Madrid could move to position 12.

If it's a draw

  • Real Madrid CF could provisionally take the lead.
  • Rayo Vallecano de Madrid could move to position 10.

If the away team wins

  • Real Madrid CF could move to position 2.
  • Rayo Vallecano de Madrid could move to position 8.

The exact impact depends on the round's other results.

Contextual mini table

Home team context
1ºFC BarcelonaFC Barcelona9 points
2ºReal Betis BalompiéReal Betis Balompié9 points
3ºReal Madrid CFReal Madrid CF9 points
4ºRC Deportivo La CoruñaRC Deportivo La Coruña8 points
5ºDeportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés7 points
Away team context
9ºAthletic ClubAthletic Club6 points
10ºLevante UDLevante UD4 points
11ºRayo Vallecano de MadridRayo Vallecano de Madrid4 points
12ºReal Racing Club de SantanderReal Racing Club de Santander4 points
13ºReal Sociedad de FútbolReal Sociedad de Fútbol4 points
Legend:Champions League

G10 Model

Predicted score31λ 3.7 · 1.1
Home

88%

Draw

10%

Away

2%

67

Confidence Score

Confidence in the top pick

Match Strength Index

60

Overall quality of the fixture

Team ratings

Attack Rating75
Defense Rating73
Attack Rating58
Defense Rating33
Over 2.5 84%Both teams to score 63%Model pick: Home win

With Real Madrid CF's Attack Rating of 75 against Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's defense (33), the model projects 3.7–1.1 expected goals. The Match Strength Index (MSI) is 60.

Trends

  • Real Madrid CF won 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won 1 of their last 5 matches.
  • Open-game trend: 84% chance of over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams to score probability: 63%.
  • Real Madrid CF have the stronger attack in this fixture (rating 75).

Alerts

  • Model favors Home win with 88%.
  • Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's fragile defense (rating 33) could open up the game.
  • Goal-friendly scenario: 84% for over 2.5.

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