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Premier League
Premier LeaguePremier League·4
Manchester United FCManchester United FC
vsComing upSep 13, 03:30 PM
Manchester City FCManchester City FC

Competition Context

Premier League • Season 2026/27

Last updated: 09/06/2026, 09:17 PM

Comparison
Manchester United FCManchester United FC
Manchester City FCManchester City FC
Position11º
Played33
Points49
Wins13
Draws10
Losses10
Goals scored77
Goals conceded62
Goal difference+1+5
Form
DWL
WWW

Home performance × Away performance

Manchester United FC · Home

100%Points ratio
1Wins
0Draws
0Losses
52 (1 matches)
W

Manchester City FC · Away

100%Points ratio
1Wins
0Draws
0Losses
41 (1 matches)
W

Manchester United FC

LWD

Last 3 matches

  • Conceded in the last 3 matches.

Avg. scored: 2.33 · Avg. conceded: 2.00

  • Is 5 points behind the leader.
  • Is 2 points below the Champions League zone.
  • Has a 3-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Manchester City FC

WWW

Last 3 matches

  • Won the last 3 matches.
  • Scored in 3 consecutive matches.

Avg. scored: 2.33 · Avg. conceded: 0.67

  • Currently leads the competition.
  • Currently holds a Champions League position.
  • Has a 8-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Impact of this match

If the home team wins

  • Manchester United FC could provisionally enter the Champions League zone.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If it's a draw

  • Manchester United FC could move to position 9.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If the away team wins

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

The exact impact depends on the round's other results.

Contextual mini table

Home team context
9ºLeeds United FCLeeds United FC5 points
10ºBrighton & Hove Albion FCBrighton & Hove Albion FC4 points
11ºManchester United FCManchester United FC4 points
12ºSunderland AFCSunderland AFC4 points
13ºIpswich Town FCIpswich Town FC3 points
Away team context
1ºManchester City FCManchester City FC9 points
2ºArsenal FCArsenal FC9 points
3ºHull City AFCHull City AFC7 points
Legend:Champions League

G10 Model

Predicted score12λ 1.6 · 2.2
Home

24%

Draw

21%

Away

55%

39

Confidence Score

Confidence in the top pick

Match Strength Index

61

Overall quality of the fixture

Team ratings

Attack Rating65
Defense Rating42
Attack Rating65
Defense Rating69
Over 2.5 72%Both teams to score 70%Model pick: Away win

With Manchester United FC's Attack Rating of 65 against Manchester City FC's defense (69), the model projects 1.6–2.2 expected goals. The Match Strength Index (MSI) is 61.

Trends

  • Manchester United FC won 1 of their last 5 matches.
  • Manchester City FC won 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Open-game trend: 72% chance of over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams to score probability: 70%.
  • Manchester United FC have the stronger attack in this fixture (rating 65).

Alerts

  • Balanced matchup: 24% / 21% / 55%.
  • Manchester United FC's fragile defense (rating 42) could open up the game.
  • Goal-friendly scenario: 72% for over 2.5.

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