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Premier League
Premier LeaguePremier League·4
AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
vsComing upSep 12, 02:00 PM
Brentford FCBrentford FC

Competition Context

Premier League • Season 2026/27

Last updated: 09/06/2026, 02:47 AM

Comparison
AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
Brentford FCBrentford FC
Position15º
Played33
Points25
Wins01
Draws22
Losses10
Goals scored45
Goals conceded52
Goal difference−1+3
Form
DDL
DDW

Home performance × Away performance

AFC Bournemouth · Home

33%Points ratio
0Wins
1Draws
0Losses
11 (1 matches)
D

Brentford FC · Away

33%Points ratio
0Wins
1Draws
0Losses
11 (1 matches)
D

AFC Bournemouth

LDD

Last 3 matches

  • Winless in the last 3 matches.
  • Scored in 3 consecutive matches.
  • Conceded in the last 3 matches.

Avg. scored: 1.33 · Avg. conceded: 1.67

  • Is 7 points behind the leader.
  • Is 4 points below the Champions League zone.
  • Has a 1-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Brentford FC

WDD

Last 3 matches

  • Unbeaten in the last 3 matches.
  • Scored in 3 consecutive matches.

Avg. scored: 1.67 · Avg. conceded: 0.67

  • Is 4 points behind the leader.
  • Is 1 points below the Champions League zone.
  • Has a 4-point cushion over the Relegation zone.

Impact of this match

If the home team wins

  • AFC Bournemouth could move to position 9.

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

If it's a draw

  • AFC Bournemouth could move to position 13.
  • Brentford FC could provisionally enter the Champions League zone.

If the away team wins

No relevant zone change in this scenario.

  • Brentford FC could provisionally enter the Champions League zone.

The exact impact depends on the round's other results.

Contextual mini table

Home team context
13ºIpswich Town FCIpswich Town FC3 points
14ºCrystal Palace FCCrystal Palace FC3 points
15ºAFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth2 points
16ºNottingham Forest FCNottingham Forest FC2 points
17ºTottenham Hotspur FCTottenham Hotspur FC1 points
Away team context
3ºArsenal FCArsenal FC6 points
4ºChelsea FCChelsea FC6 points
5ºBrentford FCBrentford FC5 points
6ºNewcastle United FCNewcastle United FC5 points
7ºLiverpool FCLiverpool FC5 points
Legend:Champions League

G10 Model

Predicted score11λ 1.3 · 1.7
Home

25%

Draw

24%

Away

51%

32

Confidence Score

Confidence in the top pick

Match Strength Index

54

Overall quality of the fixture

Team ratings

Attack Rating47
Defense Rating48
Attack Rating55
Defense Rating64
Over 2.5 57%Both teams to score 59%Model pick: Away win

With AFC Bournemouth's Attack Rating of 47 against Brentford FC's defense (64), the model projects 1.3–1.7 expected goals. The Match Strength Index (MSI) is 54.

Trends

  • AFC Bournemouth won 0 of their last 5 matches.
  • Brentford FC won 1 of their last 5 matches.
  • Open-game trend: 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams to score probability: 59%.
  • Brentford FC have the stronger attack in this fixture (rating 55).

Alerts

  • Balanced matchup: 25% / 24% / 51%.
  • Goal-friendly scenario: 57% for over 2.5.

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